Presidential Prediction: Obama vs. McCain

If you asked me today who would win the Democratic candidacy, I would not bet against Sen. Barack Obama. All the advantages that Sen. Hillary Clinton once had have diminished greatly since January. In December, when expected Democratic primary voters were polled by The New York Times, Clinton led Obama in almost every single significant demographic category, including whites, white women, married women, college students, households earning both less and more than $50,000, and both liberal and moderate democrats. Before January, the only significant demographic Obama held strong support over Clinton in was the African-American population.